PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityMark Lamb 69%+2.8%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$90.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
69.0% / 69.6%
Spread
0.9%
Tight spread7d Change
+15.6%
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Nov 25, 25, 10:31 PMJul 21, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mark Lamb69%
Volume trend
$4.0kJul 37d of dataJul 9
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.