PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability0-20 95%+1.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$135.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
94.2% / 95.3%
Spread
1.2%
Tight spread7d Change
+9.9%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 9:56 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
0-2095%
Volume trend
$8.8kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.