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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

4.0% (24h)AITechYearly6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 26%-0.0%
Market quality

68 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$551.6

Liquidity

$4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

25.0% / 27.0%

Spread

8.0%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+3.5%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Nov 12, 25, 10:22 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes26%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.