PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
15% to 24% · —
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Stored reference
15% to 24% No observed price
15% to 24% No observed priceMarket quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$6.1
Low liquidityOpen interest
$19.9
Bid / Ask
— / —
15% to 24%Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 22, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 15% to 24%
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Rules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported D1-D4 drought percentage for cattle inventory in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 20, 2026.
- Brackets: Under 15% / 15% to 24% / 25% to 34% / 35% to 44% / 45% to 54% / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- D1-D4 is the cumulative share of national cattle inventory in moderate drought (D1) or worse, which is the "D1-D4" column the source publishes.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
- The first value published for that week is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff.
