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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. 2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1.0% (24h)ScienceWeatherYearly18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
2nd hottest
2nd hottest 87%+7.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$234.8

Liquidity

$13.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.3% / 7.7%

Spread

133.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-5.5%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 26, 26, 11:52 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

2nd hottest87%

Rules

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Polymarket
  • Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
  • If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Polymarket
  • Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
  • If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.