Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 79.1%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 3:54 PM UTCApr 20, 69, 3:51 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://liquipedia.net/smash/Wizzrobe
- Previous version: @/Tumbles/will-wizzrobe-ever-win-another-majo
- Resolves YES if Wizzrobe wins Melee singles at a Major.
- (After March 2026)
- Resolves NO if Wizzrobe dies, or if ANY THREE of the following are true at the SAME TIME (with posted evidence): 1. ❌Wizzrobe has not entered Melee singles at a Major for the past two years. 2. ❌Wizzrobe has not won a Major for the past seven years. 3. ❌Wizzrobe did not appear in the previous year's top 100 ranking. 4. ❌Wizzrobe has a physical injury or disease that seriously hampers his ability to compete in the foreseeable future. 5. ❌Wizzrobe's public position is that he has quit Melee and is not expecting to compete seriously in the future. 6. ❌Wizzrobe at some point dropped a tournament game to @Tumbles.
- I will mark the above criteria with ✅ and ❌ as they are fulfilled, but NOTE: This is just a courtesy, resolution will not be changed if I make a mistake marking off criteria.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee)?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee) resolve?
- Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee) is scheduled to resolve on April 20, 2069.
- How is Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://liquipedia.net/smash/Wizzrobe