Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 13, 25, 2:15 AM UTCApr 20, 69, 11:20 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://liquipedia.net/smash/Leffen
- Resolves YES if Leffen wins Melee singles at a Major.
- (After 2024)
- Resolves NO if Leffen dies, or if ANY THREE of the following are true at the SAME TIME (with posted evidence): 1. ❌Leffen has not entered Melee singles at a Major for the past two years. 2. ❌Leffen has not won a Major for the past seven years. 3. ✅Leffen did not appear in the previous year's top 100 ranking. 4. ❌Leffen has a physical injury or disease that seriously hampers his ability to compete in the foreseeable future. 5. ❔Leffen's public position is that he has quit Melee and is not expecting to compete seriously in the future. 6. ❌Leffen at some point dropped a tournament game to @Tumbles.
- I will mark the above criteria with ✅ and ❌ as they are fulfilled, but NOTE: This is just a courtesy, resolution will not be changed if I make a mistake marking off criteria.
- If a symbol needs to be changed, feel free to ping me in the comments.
