Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 72.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 10, 24, 3:33 AM UTCApr 20, 69, 11:20 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketFISSURE Playground 3 Champion
KalshiRules
https://liquipedia.net/smash/AMSa
- Resolves YES if aMSa wins Melee singles at a Major.
- (Dec. 9th 2024 onwards)
- Resolves NO if aMSa dies, or if ANY THREE of the following are true at the SAME TIME (with posted evidence): 1. ❌aMSa has not entered Melee singles at a Major for the past two years. 2. ❌aMSa has not won a Major for the past seven years. 3. ❌aMSa did not appear in the previous year's top 100 ranking. 4. ❌aMSa has a physical injury or disease that seriously hampers his ability to compete in the foreseeable future. 5. ❌aMSa's public position is that he has quit Melee and is not expecting to compete seriously in the future. 6. ❌aMSa at some point dropped a tournament game to @Tumbles.
- I will mark the above criteria with ✅ and ❌ as they are fulfilled, but NOTE: This is just a courtesy, resolution will not be changed if I make a mistake marking off criteria.
- If a symbol needs to be changed, feel free to ping me in the comments.
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
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- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
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- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will aMSa ever win another Major? (Melee)?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will aMSa ever win another Major? (Melee) resolve?
- Will aMSa ever win another Major? (Melee) is scheduled to resolve on April 20, 2069.
- How is Will aMSa ever win another Major? (Melee) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://liquipedia.net/smash/AMSa