What are the current odds for Will Mang0 ever win another Major? (Melee)?

Manifold Markets prices No at 65.8% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will Mang0 ever win another Major? (Melee) resolve?

Will Mang0 ever win another Major? (Melee) is scheduled to resolve on April 20, 2069.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://liquipedia.net/smash/Mang0

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 65.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Jan 13, 25, 1:55 AM UTCApr 20, 69, 11:20 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

https://liquipedia.net/smash/Mang0

Resolves YES if Mang0 wins Melee singles at a Major.
(After 2024)
Resolves NO if Mang0 dies, or if ANY THREE of the following are true at the SAME TIME (with posted evidence): 1. ❌Mang0 has not entered Melee singles at a Major for the past two years. 2. ❌Mang0 has not won a Major for the past seven years. 3. ✅Mang0 did not appear in the previous year's top 100 ranking. 4. ❌Mang0 has a physical injury or disease that seriously hampers his ability to compete in the foreseeable future. 5. ✅Mang0's public position is that he has quit Melee and is not expecting to compete seriously in the future. 6. ❌Mang0 at some point dropped a tournament game to @Tumbles.
I will mark the above criteria with ✅ and ❌ as they are fulfilled, but NOTE: This is just a courtesy, resolution will not be changed if I make a mistake marking off criteria.
If a symbol needs to be changed, feel free to ping me in the comments.