What are the current odds for Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95.1% as of October 31, 2026.

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 95.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Feb 11, 24, 6:49 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 9:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will we have (and put in a comment below) an automated system that will explain chess moves logic in free text?

Requirements:
Will be available for free, as a service or open source project that I can run on a regular computer.
Will work with any reasonable real-life chess positions.
Will explain the motivation for a specific move, both for easy moves ("white recapture the queen") and more advanced logic ("aiming for exchanges to defend from the kingside attack")
Will not hallucinate at all in my testing.