Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 83.8%
Forecasters
43
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 23, 24, 8:03 AM UTCJan 1, 60, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Related question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/mjmandl/will-tesla-be-the-first-to-provide)
Open markets
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- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City? resolve?
- Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2060.
- How is Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Related question: