Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt?
One-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 6:34 PM UTCMar 31, 29, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if Wacker Chemie AG's total polysilicon production volume for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 85 kt, as reported in their Annual Report or Q4 earnings.
- YES if: Wacker annual polysilicon production >= 85 kt for 2028 NO if: Wacker annual polysilicon production < 85 kt for 2028
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Wacker Chemie AG Annual Report — Polysilicon segment (wacker.com/en/investor-relations)
- Wacker Chemie Q4 / full-year earnings press release
- Wacker Chemie Half-Year Report
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt? resolve?
- Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2029.
- How is Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Wacker Chemie AG's total polysilicon production volume for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 85 kt, as reported in their Annual Report or Q4 earnings.