Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
TechOne-OffRegulationBusiness & Corporate2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 72.5%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 20, 24, 1:31 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/constellation-inks-power-supply-deal-with-microsoft-2024-09-20/
- The question will resolve yes if a nuclear power plant at the location of unit 1 produces electric energy for commercial purposes before 2029.
- The buyer of the energy does not have to be Microsoft.
- If in doubt I will resolve in the spirit of the question.
- I will not trade in this market.
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029? resolve?
- Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/constellation-inks-power-supply-deal-with-microsoft-2024-09-20/