Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?
SolanaOne-OffUS Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.1%
Forecasters
70
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 11, 25, 7:37 AM UTCJan 22, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Puerto Rico become a state by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during remarks at Steel Across America?
PolymarketWhat countries will Trump say in September?
KalshiRules
Mike Solana popularized the idea that Moon should be a state: https://www.piratewires.com/p/moon-should-be-a-state
- In his Pirate Wires podcast dated 2/7/25, Solana raised the possibility of Trump adding Moon to his list of things the US should be acquiring.
- Given the claims over Canada, Greenland, Panama, et al, this doesn't seem out of the question.
- Ultimately this is a meme market, so it really does need to be Trump exploring the idea of statehood for Moon, not just a territory.
- Ideally he says the exact phrase "Moon should be a state", but since he's not terminally online, it's more likely the phrase gets filtered through something and comes out differently, and that will be close enough.
- But I'm holding the line at statehood - saying we should own Moon, or control Moon is not good enough.
Open markets
Solana
LIMITLESSSOL Up or Down - Daily
- No76.5%
- Yes23.5%
- Total Vol
- $176.3K
- 24h Vol
- $166K
POLYMARKETWhat chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Base96%
- No launch3%
- Solana1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.1K
- 24h Vol
- $29.1K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Solana hit in 2026?
- ↑ 100+22.4pt100%
- ↑ 80+13.9pt100%
- ↑ 90+18.4pt100%
+26 more outcomes
KALSHISOL price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $80 or above99%
- $79 or above99%
- $77 or above99%
+72 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $15.9K
- 24h Vol
- $15.9K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Solana hit in September?
- ↓ 100100%
- ↑ 100100%
- ↑ 110-12.5pt60%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $200.9K
POLYMARKETSolana above ___ on September 8?
- 75+0.3pt100%
- 80+0.2pt100%
- 85+0.3pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Solana price on September 8?
- SOL price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will SOL get in September?
- Solana above ___ on September 11?
- Solana price on September 9?
- Solana above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Solana hit September 7-13?
- How high will Solana get in 2026?
- SOL 15 min · $102.8562 target
- SOL price on September 11
- SOL price on September 30
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term? resolve?
- Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term? is scheduled to resolve on January 22, 2029.
- How is Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Mike Solana popularized the idea that Moon should be a state: https://www.piratewires.com/p/moon-should-be-a-state