Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast10 traders in 10 days (April 26) 100%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
101
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 16, 25, 8:48 AM UTCOct 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will reopen after each phase.
- The intermediate closing dates are there to make it easier to determine whether a specific milestone has been reached.
- I will edit or N/A options too far in the future or specifically created to manipulate this or other markets, if I suspect that is the case.
- More broadly, I reserve the right to edit, interpret and resolve the ones I deem inappropriate in my favor.
