Current community forecast
No 55.3%
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25
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 24, 2:27 PM UTCDec 16, 40, 2:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
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PolymarketRules
In this NASA article https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/, and this interview by Elon Musk talking about SpaceX plans https://www.npr.org/2022/03/17/1087167893/elon-musk-mars-2029 express their dedication to advancing technologies for human missions to Mars.
- NASA underscores its commitment to developing new technologies on its official website, while Elon Musk hints at a manned mission to Mars in 2029 during an interview.
- These statements indicate a shared interest in sending manned missions to the Red Planet.
- Will any of them be successful by the end of 2040 ?
- the mission would be considered successful by the following criteria :
- Safe Arrival: The spacecraft carrying the astronauts safely lands on the surface of Mars without any major incidents or malfunctions.
