What are the current odds for Will there be an orgy in space by the end of 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of October 11, 2026.

When does Will there be an orgy in space by the end of 2030? resolve?

Will there be an orgy in space by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Jun 19, 24, 5:53 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Market resolves YES if a verified instance like a pornographic film is released, or a space organization verifies the occurrence.