Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $82,250 or aboveStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:07 PM UTC
• $81,750 or aboveStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:07 PM UTC
• $82,000 or aboveStored bid–ask99%–100%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:07 PM UTC

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$1M

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

• 340-359+1.9pt19.8%
• 360-379+1.9pt18.8%
• 380-399+1.5pt13.9%

+23 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $73,000 or aboveStored bid–ask97%–99%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:18 PM UTC
• $70,000 or aboveStored bid–ask97%–100%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:18 PM UTC
• $76,000 or above

KALSHI

BTC 15 min · $82,940.71 target

• YesStored bid–ask56%–57%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:32 PM UTC
• NoStored bid–ask43%–44%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:32 PM UTC

Total Vol

$473K

24h Vol

$184K

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?

• 40-64+10.0pt42.6%
• 65-89-3.0pt26.7%
• 90-114-6.0pt13.9%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.2ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask13.3%–13.7%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:43 PM UTC
• 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask14.1%–14.4%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 06:43 PM UTC