Current community forecast
No 62.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 12:38 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Yes Resolution: This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2050 (11:59 PM UTC), the Square Kilometre Array Observatory (SKAO) or a peer-reviewed scientific paper using SKA data officially announces the confirmed detection of either a biosignature or a technosignature from an extraterrestrial source.
- No Resolution: This market will resolve to NO if no such confirmed detection has been officially announced by the cutoff date.
- Definitions:
- Biosignature: Chemical, physical, or atmospheric properties (such as out-of-equilibrium gases, dimethyl sulfide, or complex organic molecules) that provide scientific evidence of past or present extraterrestrial biological life.
- Technosignature: Any measurable signal or property (such as narrow-band radio transmissions or signs of astroengineering) providing evidence of advanced extraterrestrial technology.
