Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies?
One-OffTechBusiness & Corporate
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 85.6%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 24, 4:37 AM UTCJan 1, 47, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
At the time of Elon’s death, will the website/app formerly known as Twitter (currently called X, probably to be called something else) still be functioning at the time of Elon’s death?
- Resolves NO if the website goes down for at least 1 month, while Elon is alive.
- Down will be determined as at least 2 out of the following being true for the month:
- No new people can join the site (true of the average person).
- The average person is unable to post new content to their account.
- There is no functioning home page or timeline.
