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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit?
Manifold Markets

Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit?

SpaceCustom24y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Yes 24.5%
Forecasters

14

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Nov 13, 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 50, 6:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes25%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets

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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

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SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

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SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?

SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?

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Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$0
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Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

$1K
Yes: 90.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,960.93+2.50%

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets