Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
One-OffSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69.1%
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134
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingOct 21, 22, 3:29 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves according to my subjective judgement.
- I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary.
- I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
- "Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
- Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
- Related markets from me on subjective popularity:
