Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
One-OffSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 68.4%
Forecasters
134
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 21, 22, 3:29 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves according to my subjective judgement.
- I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary.
- I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
- "Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
- Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
- Related markets from me on subjective popularity:
