Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.5% as of November 1, 2026.

When does Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job? resolve?

Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

How is Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves positive if the outflow of funds was done or ordered by FTX leadership or a close ally.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 1, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $77,750 or above+64.0pt99.5%
• $77,500 or above+51.0pt99.5%
• $77,250 or above+40.0pt99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.5M

24h Vol

$2.3M

KALSHI

BTC 15 min · $77,843.02 target

• No98.3%
• Yes1.8%

Total Vol

$1.9M

24h Vol

$1M

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-2.0pt56%
• Anthropic+1.3pt43%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $67,500 or above98%
• $65,000 or above98%
• $65,500 or above+1.0pt98.5%

KALSHI

ETH 15 min · $2,263.18 target

• No94.4%
• Yes5.6%

Total Vol

$240.8K

24h Vol

$117.1K

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt18.2%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.8pt16.6%
• 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.4pt

• BTC price range on Nov 1, 2026 at 5pm EST?
• ETH price on Nov 1, 2026 at 5pm EST?
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• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• March Madness 2027: Champion
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• SOL price on Nov 1, 2026 at 5pm EST?
• DOGE 15 min · $0.0753671 target
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• XRP price at Nov 1, 2026 at 5pm EST?