Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesDailyChina2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 2:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 1500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 1500 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of tantalum on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceeds 2500 USD/t on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.
- YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 2500 USD per tonne on December 31, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 2500 USD per tonne on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)
- Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)
