Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 1500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesDailyChina2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingApr 7, 26, 2:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of tantalum on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceeds 1500 USD/t on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.
- YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 1500 USD per tonne on December 31, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 1500 USD per tonne on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)
- Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)
