Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingAug 15, 26, 11:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between August 15, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM JST, Yuzuki Roa (夢月ロア) officially makes a comeback.
- A "comeback" is defined by meeting any of the following objective criteria:
- Conducting a live stream (excluding accidental/test streams immediately deleted) on her official YouTube channel: 夢月ロア / Yuzuki Roa.
- Uploading a new video (excluding automated system uploads, standard automated birthday goods promotions, or old privatized VODs being restored) on her official YouTube channel.
- An official announcement by ANYCOLOR Inc. (via their corporate newsroom or the official Nijisanji Japanese X account) or Yuzuki Roa herself (via her official X account) explicitly confirming she has resumed or is immediately resuming regular streaming or content creation activities.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3K
- 24h Vol
- $109.4K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-7.5pt72%
- 940 - 950m+6.0pt25%
- <940m-0.6pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2597%
- Above 3069%
- Above 3261%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.4K
- 24h Vol
- $76.8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+15.2pt40%
- No Bond chosen-0.6pt21%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt12%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+3.0pt45%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt24%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+25.0pt99%
- Above 50+33.0pt97%
- Above 55+48.0pt88%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $314.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Roa Yuzuki make a comeback in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Roa Yuzuki make a comeback in 2026? resolve?
- Will Roa Yuzuki make a comeback in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Roa Yuzuki make a comeback in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria