Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84.5%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleDec 7, 25, 1:08 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses have sold over 2 million units to date (as of late 2025), and EssilorLuxottica has announced plans to scale production to 10 million units per year by the end of 2026.
- But production capacity isn’t the same as actual consumer demand — and analysts are split on whether smart glasses are about to explode into mainstream adoption or remain a niche AI gadget.
- This market resolves YES if publicly verifiable data shows that cumulative global sales of Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses reach or exceed 10,000,000 units by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Accepted sources include Meta investor reports, EssilorLuxottica earnings, Reuters/Bloomberg reporting, or other reputable industry analytics that report unit sales (not shipments).
- If no reliable source reports the number by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.
