Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 54.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 3:26 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first commercially released generation (or official consumer hardware specification reveal) of Sesame smart glasses includes an optical waveguide display (such as diffractive, reflective, or holographic waveguide optics) capable of projecting visual graphics or text into the wearer’s field of view.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- Sesame's first smart glasses launch without any visual display (e.g., audio/camera-only, similar to Ray-Ban Meta glasses).
- The glasses use a non-waveguide optical display system (e.g., birdbath optics, prism/curved mirror combiner without a planar waveguide).
- Sesame officially cancels or shuts down hardware development without launching smart glasses.