PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 60.4%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$195.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
8
7d Change
-22.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 8:27 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's.
- Christie's, or Phillips.
- If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt52%
- The Black Ball+3.0pt18%
- Dune: Part Three-2.0pt10%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
KALSHIResident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 8799%
- Above 8599%
- Above 90+5.0pt99%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $355.4K
- 24h Vol
- $117.1K
POLYMARKET# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
- 45–50M+7.5pt60.8%
- 40–45M-7.9pt35.3%
- 50M++1.9pt3.9%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKET"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office
- 70m++39.4pt50.5%
- 65-70m+5.5pt26.2%
- 60-65m-17.9pt9.3%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 7099%
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $331.3K
- 24h Vol
- $37.9K
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-1.0pt77%
- Yes+1.0pt23%
- Total Vol
- $508.5K
- 24h Vol
- $35.5K
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Toronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- The Weight · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 60% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? resolve?
- Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026.