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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?

Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?

EntertainmentOne-OffBusiness & Corporate6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 47%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$429.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

43.0% / 50.0%

Spread

16.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

+5.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 3, 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes47%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's.
  • Christie's, or Phillips.
  • If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's.
  • Christie's, or Phillips.
  • If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website.