Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
0.5 pts (24h)EntertainmentOne-OffBusiness & Corporate1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
Yes 90.1%
Yes 90.1%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.3
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$589.5
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Comments
10
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 8:27 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Yes
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Balatro sell over 20 million copies by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill commercial electricity sales revenue in New York exceed $1,020 million in December 2026?
ForecastExWill commercial electricity sales revenue in New York exceed $1,060 million in December 2026?
ForecastExWill commercial electricity sales revenue in New York exceed $1,100 million in December 2026?
ForecastExWill commercial electricity sales revenue in New York exceed $1,140 million in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's.
- Christie's, or Phillips.
- If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website.
