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  3. Will Leonardo da Vinci break his auction record this season?
Will Leonardo da Vinci break his auction record this season?

Will Leonardo da Vinci break his auction record this season?

1.0% (24h)EntertainmentOne-OffBusiness & Corporate6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%+1.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.3

Liquidity

$92.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 7.0%

Spread

75.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 25, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

If the highest auction sale price of any Leonardo da Vinci artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $450312500 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • “Sale Price” refers to the final publicly reported realized price of the artwork, including buyer’s premium and auction fees, as reported by the relevant Source Agency.

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Rules

If the highest auction sale price of any Leonardo da Vinci artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $450312500 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • “Sale Price” refers to the final publicly reported realized price of the artwork, including buyer’s premium and auction fees, as reported by the relevant Source Agency.