Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.2%
Forecasters
47
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 23, 12:39 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiRules
At the time of market creation, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex are making headlines due to the release of Harry's autobiography, which makes several sensational claims and has widened the rift between them and the rest of the British royal family.
- At present their relationship seems strong, but given the level of strife it has brought to both of them, it is not inconceivable that it could break down at some future point.
- This market resolves YES if the couple are legally divorced before 1st January 2030, NO otherwise.