Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 87.2%
No 87.2%Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 22, 2:37 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves positively if members of the effective altruism community create a university that, as an explicit mission, has values / degrees that are focused in achieving goals considered part of the effective altruism worldview.
- Effective altruism need not be specifically mentioned, but I will use my subjective judgement if need be to determine whether the newly-created university is sufficiently EA-coded to merit a Yes resolution.
- 2023-01-07: I sold my shares and will no longer be trading in this market to avoid resolution conflict-of-interests.