Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 84%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 24, 11:32 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which simple games will get their own seasons of Jet Lag before 2027?
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketRules
One of the contestants must be within eyesight of Hospental Castle to resolve YES; and this must occur in a season after season 11.
- I will only resolve YES if footage of this is included in an episode.
- Otherwise, resolves NO at the end date.
- I may bet on this market.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3K
- 24h Vol
- $109.4K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-7.5pt72%
- 940 - 950m+6.0pt25%
- <940m-0.6pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2597%
- Above 3069%
- Above 3261%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.4K
- 24h Vol
- $76.8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+15.2pt40%
- No Bond chosen-0.6pt21%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt12%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+3.0pt45%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt24%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+25.0pt99%
- Above 50+33.0pt97%
- Above 55+48.0pt88%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $314.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jet Lag: the Game visit Hospental Castle again before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Jet Lag: the Game visit Hospental Castle again before 2027? resolve?
- Will Jet Lag: the Game visit Hospental Castle again before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Jet Lag: the Game visit Hospental Castle again before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: One of the contestants must be within eyesight of Hospental Castle to resolve YES; and this must occur in a season after season 11.