Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 26, 6:21 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if Ludwig Ahgren appears as a guest competitor on an official season of Jet Lag: The Game, the travel competition video series created by Sam Denby, Adam Chase, and Ben Doyle, by December 31, 2027.
- This includes any season released or filmed by that date.
- Resolves NO if Ludwig does not appear as a guest competitor by the deadline.
- Appearances on companion content like The Layover podcast do not count; Ludwig must compete in an actual game season.
- Jet Lag: The Game has featured guest competitors including Toby Hendy, Michelle Khare, and Tom Scott, among other content creators.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3K
- 24h Vol
- $109.4K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-7.5pt72%
- 940 - 950m+6.0pt25%
- <940m-0.6pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2597%
- Above 3069%
- Above 3261%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.4K
- 24h Vol
- $76.8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+15.2pt40%
- No Bond chosen-0.6pt21%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt12%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+3.0pt45%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt24%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+25.0pt99%
- Above 50+33.0pt97%
- Above 55+48.0pt88%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $314.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ludwig be a guest on Jet Lag: The Game by 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Ludwig be a guest on Jet Lag: The Game by 2028? resolve?
- Will Ludwig be a guest on Jet Lag: The Game by 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Ludwig be a guest on Jet Lag: The Game by 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria