What are the current odds for Will I still be active on Manifold in 1 year??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63.9% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will I still be active on Manifold in 1 year? resolve?

Will I still be active on Manifold in 1 year? is scheduled to resolve on June 13, 2027.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

One-OffTech7mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 63.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Jun 13, 26, 7:58 PM UTCJun 13, 27, 7:58 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if I perform at least one publicly verifiable action on Manifold during the 30-day period leading up to June 13, 2027 (specifically, from May 14, 2027, through June 13, 2027, UTC).
Publicly verifiable actions include:
Placing a bet
Creating a market
Writing a comment or reply