Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 95.4%
No 95.4%Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingJan 12, 24, 5:22 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?
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KalshiRules
I'm a modestly accomplished musician with my music featured in a popular video game mod and an album released in late 2023 that has amassed about 2500 listens in 4 months as well a small number of sales.
- I'm also a competent bassist and singer with concert experience.
- I also have an intentionally obscure band of little renown.
- Fyre Festival II is currently scheduled for December 6th, 2024 but they reserve the right to reschedule in the future.
- I will resolve this market as YES if I perform as an official part of the festival in any capacity, whether with my own music under one of my artist names or with another artist/band as an official artist at the festival.
- Artist names to look out for: