Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.4%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 4, 26, 5:47 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
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KalshiSweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRules
Coding a bot
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the user's Manifold Markets account shows a cumulative profit of at least 10,000 mana from market trading activity before January 1, 2027.
- Profit is calculated as total mana earned minus total mana spent on market positions.
- Resolution will be verified by checking the user's public profile statistics on Manifold Markets at https://manifold.markets/profile, specifically the "Profit" metric displayed on their account page.
- Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users trade on binary and multiple-choice outcomes using mana as the internal currency.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $354.3K
- 24h Vol
- $354.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt50%
- 65-89+27.0pt47.1%
- 90-114-2.4pt2.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-219-1.0pt18.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.2pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 resolve?
- Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Coding a bot