Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.4%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingMar 4, 26, 5:47 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Coding a bot
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the user's Manifold Markets account shows a cumulative profit of at least 10,000 mana from market trading activity before January 1, 2027.
- Profit is calculated as total mana earned minus total mana spent on market positions.
- Resolution will be verified by checking the user's public profile statistics on Manifold Markets at https://manifold.markets/profile, specifically the "Profit" metric displayed on their account page.
- Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users trade on binary and multiple-choice outcomes using mana as the internal currency.
