Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 3:37 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRules
I’m so bad at predictions man.
- Seriously, my accuracy is worse than 50%, I’m like that Jim Cramer tracker.
- At this point I should consider making a bot that automatically bids the opposite to me.
- This market will resolve to YES if I have a positive all time mana profit for at least 1 day before 2030.
- The figure currently stands at around -6.5k mana.
- Feel free to ask questions and I’ll answer them as best I can.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
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- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I have a positive all time Mana profit at any time before & including 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I have a positive all time Mana profit at any time before & including 2030? resolve?
- Will I have a positive all time Mana profit at any time before & including 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Will I have a positive all time Mana profit at any time before & including 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I’m so bad at predictions man.