Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (16.8%)
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, 2:49 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 83.2%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 5:25 PMAug 18, 26, 2:49 AM
Trends
83.2%
16.8%
Rules
What with current events and all, gasoline prices have been going up [Citation needed].
- Before the Iran war started, gas prices around me were in the $2-3 range, but over the past few months, the prices have been sitting in the low-to-mid $4 range.
- Will gas prices break the $5 line where I'm at for long enough that I'm forced to buy at that price?
- I'm going based on the price given at the pump, not including sales tax that is calculated after pumping.
- Basically, I'm going off the advertised price, for reasons of laziness.
- Now that I'm thinking about it, I'm not sure when/how gas tax is calculated in the united states. Ṁ25 prize to the first person to explain it to me in the comments.
