Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 25, 24, 2:05 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I get a bf before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsHow hard will it be to import my prereqs into the California Community Colleges system given my graduate degree?
Manifold MarketsColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRules
Any kind of grad school would count.
- 2028 is my expected college graduation year, and grad school is a common path for people similar to me.
- Currently it doesn’t seem very appealing to me, but maybe I’ll change my mind.
- Update: I’m going to Stanford, so I think the chances are lower - since there’s more opportunity in the Bay to work at or found a startup / do other meaningful work out of college.
- I may resolve this market a few months early if the outcome is clear.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.8K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $10.2K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.5K
- 24h Vol
- $487.1
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I be attending graduate school in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 69% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? resolve?
- Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Any kind of grad school would count.