Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 94%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleMar 25, 26, 2:27 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Driverless: no safety driver
- Hail a ride: must be point to point of my choosing within the service area, and not a demo route
- I will try a second time around the end of the year if the first ride has a safety driver.
- I don’t expect to take any additional Zoox rides by my own volition, but those would also count if they meet the criteria.
- I have an account and am on the waitlist.
- I have access to Las Vegas rides (as is true for all accounts, I think)