Will "How to Build a Third Place on Focusmate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-Off4moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86%
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1
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 26, 26, 4:20 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post How to Build a Third Place on Focusmate is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "How to Build a Third Place on Focusmate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "How to Build a Third Place on Focusmate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? resolve?
- Will "How to Build a Third Place on Focusmate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Will "How to Build a Third Place on Focusmate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.