Will Grand Theft Auto VI actually release on November 19, 2026?
SportsOne-OffEntertainmentChessTech25dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.2%
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30
Question type
binary
Methodology
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Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingNov 6, 25, 10:48 PM UTCNov 19, 26, 10:47 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if a version of Grand Theft Auto VI is released and available to play on Thursday, November 19, 2026.
- The market resolves NO if the game is delayed beyond November 19, 2026, or if Rockstar announces a new release date before launch.
- Grand Theft Auto 6 had originally been set to release in fall 2025, but in May was pushed back to the May 2026 release date.
- Rockstar announced the game was delayed again to 19 November 2026, citing additional polish.
- The game is scheduled to be released on 19 November 2026 for the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S. It's the first new entry in the series since 2013's GTA 5, and is predicted to sell more than 40 million units in its first year alone.