Will global primary rhenium production exceed 82 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
CommoditiesOne-Off5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Apr 7, 26, 11:33 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if global primary rhenium production exceeds 82 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026.
- What is being measured: USGS estimate of world primary rhenium production for the calendar year ending December 2026 (reported in the USGS MCS published ~February, settled March 31).
- YES if: USGS global primary Re production >= 82 thousand kg for the year NO if: USGS global primary Re production < 82 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (usgs.gov/centers/national-minerals-information-center)
- USGS Minerals Yearbook — rhenium chapter
- CRU Group or Wood Mackenzie rhenium production data
