Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.6%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 17, 25, 3:13 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @Firepup650 issues a clear, public statement endorsing effective altruism on any publicly accessible platform (e.g., social media, personal website, blog) by December 31, 2027.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement explicitly supporting, advocating for, or identifying with the core principles or goals of the effective altruism movement.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such verifiable public endorsement by @Firepup650 is found by the specified deadline.
- I will probably try to persuade her to do so.
