Current community forecast
No 80.9%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 24, 3:16 AM UTCJan 2, 41, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the chess prodigy Faustino Oro becomes world chess champion by 2040, and NO otherwise.
- From Wikipedia:
- Faustino Oro (born October 14, 2013) is an Argentine chess player.
- In 2024, he defeated Magnus Carlsen in a bullet chess game.
- In 2023, when he was nine, he received a rating of 2300 (classical), becoming the youngest chess player to have done so.
- He has been dubbed the "Messi of chess".