Current community forecast
No 92.9%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 24, 2:53 AM UTCDec 10, 37, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Hikaru Nakamura is one of the top chess players in the world right now.
- Will he ever become world champion?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hikaru_Nakamura
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship
- This market will resolve YES when/if Hikaru Nakamura becomes world chess champion.
- This market will resolve NO when/if I determine that Hikaru Nakamura has become irrelevant to the world chess championship.
Open markets
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- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
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- Barcelona18.1%
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
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- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
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+45 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hikaru Nakamura ever become World Chess Champion??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Hikaru Nakamura ever become World Chess Champion? resolve?
- Will Hikaru Nakamura ever become World Chess Champion? is scheduled to resolve on December 10, 2037.
- How is Will Hikaru Nakamura ever become World Chess Champion? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Hikaru Nakamura is one of the top chess players in the world right now.