Current community forecast
No 92.9%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 24, 2:53 AM UTCDec 10, 37, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Hikaru Nakamura is one of the top chess players in the world right now.
- Will he ever become world champion?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hikaru_Nakamura
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship
- This market will resolve YES when/if Hikaru Nakamura becomes world chess champion.
- This market will resolve NO when/if I determine that Hikaru Nakamura has become irrelevant to the world chess championship.