Current community forecast
No 82.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 26, 24, 5:36 AM UTCJul 31, 42, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Fabiano Caruana become world chess champion by 2050?
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PolymarketRules
Fabiano Caruana is one of the top chess players in the world right now.
- Will he ever become world champion?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fabiano_Caruana
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship
- This market will resolve YES when/if Fabiano Caruana becomes world chess champion.
- This market will resolve NO when/if I determine that Fabiano Caruana has become irrelevant to the world chess championship.