Current community forecast
No 82.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleApr 26, 24, 5:36 AM UTCJul 31, 42, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Fabiano Caruana become world chess champion by 2050?
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KalshiRules
Fabiano Caruana is one of the top chess players in the world right now.
- Will he ever become world champion?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fabiano_Caruana
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship
- This market will resolve YES when/if Fabiano Caruana becomes world chess champion.
- This market will resolve NO when/if I determine that Fabiano Caruana has become irrelevant to the world chess championship.
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion? resolve?
- Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion? is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2042.
- How is Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Fabiano Caruana is one of the top chess players in the world right now.