Will Elon Musk be found personally guilty of a crime in the United States before the end of 2028?
TechOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 2, 24, 10:14 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Drake be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Huberman be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
