Will drone delivery of groceries be available to the general public in San Francisco by EOY 2026?
One-OffTech2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 25, 4:02 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026:
- A drone delivery service for groceries is publicly available to general consumers (not just beta testers) within San Francisco city limits
- The service is operational and accepting orders (not just announced or in testing)
- Customers can place orders through a public-facing app or website
- This market resolves YES if drone delivery is available to some, but not all, addresses within San Francisco.
- This market resolves YES if at least 20 SKUs are offered for delivery that are identical or equivalent to SKUs carried by a grocery store or convenience store.
